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What the Numbers Say

August 7th, 2008

There are two good sites out there closely tracking the numbers in the election, Five-Thirty-Eight, and the Princeton Election Consortium. Both look at state (not national, because elections are decided state by state) polling and create statistical models showing where the campaigns currently stand.

Five-Thirty-Eight currently gives Obama a 62.7% chance of winning. While the Princeton Election Consortium doesn’t make predictions, they state that if an election were held today, Obama would have a 99% chance of winning.

The two sites are currently arguing over whose models are better. If you though Mac Geeks were bad, try Math Geeks.

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Categories: Election 2008 Tags: by
  1. August 7th, 2008 at 16:38 | #1

    one things for sure… this election isn’t going to be split down the middle (knocks on wood)…
    also you can study kanji on the iphone:) +1点

  2. Luis
    August 7th, 2008 at 16:42 | #2

    Mages: Study kanji on the iPhone? Did I type that somewhere? Or did you see my review of that kanji program and connect it to me here?

  3. ykw
    August 8th, 2008 at 04:01 | #3

    The vegas betting parlors (e.g. http://www.intrade.com) are putting obama at about 61%. I don’t know where the betters get their info. Perhaps a variety of places.

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