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August 4th, 2003
Bush’s Popularity

Take a look at the chart on the right. It comes from the Gallup Organization, showing Bush’s popularity over the last two and a half years. It doesn’t take a genius to see the pattern here: in his natural state, Bush slowly but steadily loses popularity over time; the only times he gains popularity is in a time of national crisis. Note the sudden surges in September 2001, and March 2003. Also note that his popularity is less about him than it is about crises, and the American people throwing in support in times of fear. Compare this with the chart below showing Clinton’s popularity throughout his own eight years; note that Clinton’s popularity did not hinge on crises, and that it displayed a general upwards trend, despite a concerted, lengthy smear campaign run by his political enemies.

Bush’s record is far more worrisome, however. Bush, despite his assertions to the contrary, spends a great deal of money on surveys to see where public opinion stands in regard to him. No one could be blind enough to not see that war, mayhem, and fear mean votes for Bush and his agenda. And it is impossible to miss that assured downward slide during peacetime. At this rate, Bush’s popularity will be at low enough levels on election day 2004 that he would likely lose the election, given the Democrats put someone electable on the ballot.

Clinton’s Popularity

So… who’d like to start a pool to guess exactly when the next national crisis will begin? As White House Chief of Staff Andrew Card let slip in 2002, “from a marketing point of view, you don’t introduce new products in August.” I’d say that we’re on schedule to be on the road to war with someone, likely Syria or Iran, by September of next year. Remember, we have an administration that has taken the stand that it would be profitable for GOP members to “focus on war” in order to win elections–this coming from Karl Rove’s own records, as he told a January 2002 meeting of Republicans that by playing up terrorism and the war in Iraq, they could win more political power.

And it worked for them. Are we so naive as to think they won’t do it again in 2004, when even more is on the line?

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  1. August 4th, 2003 at 18:11 | #1

    To me, it says the average American has drunk the Kool-Aid. Very scary, given the administration’s disdain for the Constitution and the foreign policy based on the Book of Revelations.

  2. August 5th, 2003 at 10:30 | #2

    Hmm…Bush’s popularity is sinking…

    Oh, look at this: A new report by The Los Angeles Times claims that Iran is on the verge of developing nukes of its own.

    L.A. Times: Iran Closes In on Nuclear Bomb

    Voice of America: White House Renews Concerns Over Iran’s Nuclear Program

    And, hey, we’ve already got troops in Iraq. How convenient.

  3. Luis
    August 5th, 2003 at 10:37 | #3

    It certainly sounds like the groundwork is being laid….

  4. August 7th, 2003 at 11:22 | #4

    Meanwhile North Korea keeps jumping around saying hey over here. Nuclear weapons here too, we’ll even flaunt them for you. C’mon guys, over here. Look at us!

    Guess God is still directing Bush to continue in the Middle East. The lord works in mysterious ways. :(

  5. Bill
    November 15th, 2003 at 01:14 | #5


    Another dimension I guess! Why didnt’ you use charts showing the same particulars. Your chart for Sir Clinton doesn’t show disapprovals like Boy George’s. Also, please note that, overall, Geo’s chart seldom dips much below 60% approval, while Slick’s seldom gets that high. If not for a good economy, it would, according to the chart, even been worse. What are you trying to do here? Kind of looks like you’ve shot yourself in the foot!


  6. joewo
    September 25th, 2005 at 03:02 | #6

    Interesting how as the impeachment trials went on, his popularity went up. Wouldnt you think it should have been the other way around? Apparently the impeachers were out of touch with reality and the American people. They will unfortunately try to do the same if Hillary gets into the White House. A smart woman is the scariest thing to the Taliban….uh…I mean right wing wackos. Get ready to have all of the baseless stuff (Vince Foster etc.) to be dredged up again because it is all they have on her.

  7. stinkin’ stan
    October 10th, 2005 at 12:26 | #7

    just a reminder from the near past of another bad move on bush’s part; when bush was elected for the first time in 2000, his first bad move was this: after the U.S.S. Cole disaster the FBI and CIA saw Bin Laden’s videos (talking about an assault on the u.s. from u.s. soil) they warned the federal government of this disaster. bush ignored it and whoops! 9/11! this may be a little extreme, but do you think just maybe god was telling him to ignore it, like god told him to send troops to iraq? think about it, people.

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