Home > Election 2008 > Close

Close

February 6th, 2008

For the Democrats, Super Tuesday was interesting indeed. Obama and Clinton virtually split the popular vote exactly down the middle; some estimates have Hillary winning 49% to 48%, others have the same numbers the other way around. Hillary won more big states, but Obama won more states overall, often by larger margins. Hillary won one state with over 60% of the vote, but Obama won several in that range–and at least three states with wins in the 70’s or 80’s. Hillary will get more delegates, but mostly because of Super-delegate votes, which are not a popular or democratic measure, but rather a political one. Even so, the delegate count remains very close.

And, as noted before, several races remain in February, most of which are leaning in favor of Obama. And momentum is with him. While Super Tuesday was not a decisive win for him, the press at least is not pulling another New Hampshire–they are not claiming that Obama lost because he did not beat the most optimistic polls in his favor. Everyone is calling this an even split, but the unreported story is that this is a big win for Obama. He should have lost by a fair margin today, especially by what the last-day polls were saying. That he held it to a tie is great news for him: it means that he is holding his own, and since the momentum is his, he stands to gain more and more as time goes on.

Still, Hillary has more of those Super-delegates lined up, and she might be able to hold this out until the convention, where the gaming will really start.

One thing in Obama’s favor: more and more people seem to be coming around to the idea that Obama will fare much better against McCain than Hillary could. The more people realize how Obama will perform in a general election, the more people will realize that Obama hold much more hope of a Democrat winning the election this November.

Categories: Election 2008 Tags: by
Comments are closed.