Home > Election 2008 > Hillary didn’t Win by 10 Points–Not Even Close

Hillary didn’t Win by 10 Points–Not Even Close

April 25th, 2008

She won by 9 points, and barely even that. Despite almost every media outlet reporting a ten-point spread (only about one in ten reports mention a 9-point spread, and then only as a question, as if it’s not really clear), the fact remains that Hillary won by almost exactly 9.1%.

So why is everyone reporting 10%? Because of double-rounding. Clinton got 54.55% of the vote in PA, and Obama got 45.45%; that’s just a hair’s breadth from the midline for both numbers, but just barely enough so that Obama’s number is rounded down and Hillary’s is rounded up. Since the media uses the rounded numbers to calculate the distance between the two, it comes out with the 10% figure–despite that number being wholly inaccurate.

Although with how the media has behaved in recent years, it surprises me not at all that their math sucks, too.

Categories: Election 2008 Tags: by
  1. Leszek Cyfer
    April 29th, 2008 at 17:00 | #1

    David Oates, the Australian who discovered “reverse speech”, lists “Hillary” as one of subconscious metaphors that permeates the collective subconscious – an excerpt from his metaphor list from the book “It’s only a metaphor” (1996):

    “HILLARY (Structural) from Hillary Rodham Clinton. She became a metaphor not long after the Clintons moved into the White House; a controlling rigid attitude; to get in someone’s face; an aggressive non repentant person. ”

    Reverse speech is what you can hear when you listen to voice recordings played backward – among gibberish one can hear words and whole sentences. Some famous reversals are for example:

    Neil Armstrong: “That’s one small step for man, one giant leap for mankind.” reads backward: “Man will space walk”

    John F. Kennedy: “Ask not what your country can do for you, but what can you do for your country” contains backward message: “Give Jack all your food.”

    Thought it might interest you…

    P.S. Wonder what say reversals in this campaign speeches.

Comments are closed.